Benjamin W. Haight explores the intricate dynamics of US-China relations, particularly focusing on the contentious issue of Taiwan. Drawing on historical perspectives from Carl von Clausewitz and Thomas Schelling, Haight delves into the concept of risk as a policy instrument, originally framed in the context of nuclear deterrence but now highly relevant to the modern geopolitical landscape between the US and China.
Haight outlines the growing tensions in the Indo-Pacific region, highlighting China’s military buildup and its aggressive stance towards Taiwan under President Xi Jinping’s leadership. Xi’s ambition for reunification with Taiwan has led to significant investments in the People’s Liberation Army Navy (PLAN), posing a direct challenge to the US’s objective of maintaining a rules-based international order.
Haight critiques the current US policy of strategic ambiguity towards Taiwan, which aims to keep both Beijing and Taipei uncertain about the extent of Us military intervention in the event of a conflict. However, he argues that this policy is failing as China continues to escalate its provocations and rhetoric. The article calls for a shift away from strategic ambiguity towards a more explicit commitment to defend Taiwan, suggesting that such a move would better deter Chinese aggression and maintain regional stability.
The article is structured into six parts, covering Taiwan’s unique international legal status; the evolution of the US “one-China” policy,; comparisons with other nations’ policies; the threat of a Chinese invasion; and a critical analysis of strategic ambiguity. Haight concludes that the US must adopt a clearer stance to effectively counter China’s reunification ambitions and ensure the security of the Indo-Pacific region.